While we are still weeks away from knowing how the winter weather is going to be this year, there is some good news.

The National Weather Service in Buffalo recently posted a very early outlook and this is good news if you are not a fan of cold and snow.

Looking at their post, we could end up having a much milder winter across New York due to the current El Nino that impacting the Northern part of the United States.

The warmer temps could also mean we have less lake effect snow across the state as well.

Here is a look at some other long-range forecasts for this winter in New York.


The Old Farmer's Almanac is calling for a much cooler winter this year compared to last year. The "El Nino" that has formed in the Pacific will bring a change in the weather across New York compared to last year.

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There are indications that an El Niño (an unusually high-water temperature off the Pacific Coast of South America), will be brewing in the latter half of 2023, lasting into the winter of 2024. If we consider that alongside our tried-and-true forecast formula, it means that cold temperatures should prevail throughout the country and bring snow, sleet, and ice.


Direct Weather is also calling for a much cooler and snowier winter than last year here in New York. Check out this video that shows more precipitation and below-average temperature across New York State.


The website snowchance.com is calling for lots of snow from November all the way through April in Western New York. According to the site, there is a good chance of "Winter Storm" conditions in November before coming back down to more normal averages of snow in December and January.

photo courtsey snowchance.com
photo courtesy snowchance.com


Again it is still VERY early for a true winter prediction but it looks like it might just be a crazy couple of months across the state.

Check out some photos from the Thanksgiving and Christmas snowstorms that hit New York State last winter.

Historic Snow Storm Hits Buffalo

A historic snowstorm slammed into Western New York on Friday and continues to bring snow to all areas across the region.

Gallery Credit: Dave fields

5 Snowiest Days In New York State History

Here are the Top 5 snowiest days in New York State history.

Gallery Credit: Dave fields

77" In 48 Hours - A Look At WNY's Record Breaking Lake Effect Snowstorm

The wet and heavy lake effect snowstorm pelted the area, making traveling impossible. Flights were canceled at Buffalo-Niagara Airport, causing headaches for travelers heading into the Thanksgiving holiday week. Driving bans are in effect in multiple WNY counties, making it illegal for employers to require their workers to commute.

Here’s some snapshots of what it looks like on the ground:

Gallery Credit: Cameron Coats

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